How to work out the cost per impression of branded merchandise, where it genuinely performs, and how to measure whether...
How to work out the cost per impression of branded merchandise, where it genuinely performs, and how to measure whether your spend is working.

They work for some things and not for others, and the difference is measurable if you set it up properly.
We sell promotional merchandise, so take the rest of this with that in mind. What follows is the version we would want if we were spending the budget rather than receiving it: the maths, the parts that are genuinely hard to measure, and where we think merchandise is the wrong tool.
The useful way to compare merchandise against any other marketing spend is cost per impression: what you paid, divided by the number of times the item is seen.
Cost per impression = the total cost of the item, divided by the number of times it is seen over its life.
That is the whole formula, and the interesting variable is the second one.
A branded pen used at a desk for six months is seen by its owner most working days and by anyone who borrows it. A tote bag carried on a commute is seen by everyone in the carriage. A branded notebook in a meeting is seen by everyone at the table. A cheap giveaway that goes in a bin at the end of an event is seen once.
Which produces the point that governs everything else: the cost of the item barely matters compared with whether it is kept. A cheap item that gets thrown away does not have a low cost per impression. It has an infinite one, because the denominator is zero.
Take two orders of the same total value. One buys a large quantity of a low-cost item that most recipients discard within a week. The other buys a smaller quantity of something people keep and use daily for two years.
The first order generates a burst of impressions and then stops. The second generates fewer impressions on day one and carries on generating them every working day for two years, long after the invoice is forgotten.
Run the division at the end of that period and the second order usually wins comfortably, despite costing more per unit. That is the calculation to run before you order, and the honest input is not what the item costs. It is how long you genuinely believe the recipient will keep it.
Most marketing spend is priced per impression. You pay for the ad, the ad is shown, and when you stop paying it stops being shown.
Promotional merchandise is paid for once and delivers impressions for as long as the item survives. Nothing further is spent. A bottle bought two years ago is still working today at no additional cost.
That asymmetry is real and it does not depend on any study. It is also the reason the entire argument rests on retention rather than on price, and why the useful question at the ordering stage is "will they keep this" rather than "what does this cost".
Being straight about this is more useful than the alternative.
It works well for:
It works poorly for:
If you are being asked to justify merchandise spend as a lead generation line, the honest position is that it is usually the wrong place to put it. It performs better on the retention and recall side of the budget, where the case is easier to make and truer.
You will find a lot of confident numbers about promotional merchandise: retention rates, recall percentages, returns on investment. We have deliberately not repeated any of them here.
Most originate from research commissioned by the promotional merchandise industry into the value of promotional merchandise. That does not make the findings wrong, and it does mean they should be read the way you would read any research funded by the people it benefits.
If you are relying on a figure to justify a budget, check four things: who funded the study, when it was carried out, how many people were surveyed, and whether the full methodology is published. If any of those is missing, do not put the number in a board paper.
Your own data is better than all of it, which is the next section.

Most merchandise spend is unmeasured, and that is a choice rather than a limitation. A few things make it measurable, and none of them is difficult.
A dedicated short URL or a QR code that goes somewhere no other campaign points. Everything arriving through it came from the merchandise, and you can see it in your own analytics.
A discount code, a reference code or a mention-this-code offer printed on the item. Redemptions are unambiguous.
Adding "how did you hear about us" to your enquiry form costs nothing and catches what analytics cannot.
Whether an item gets reordered is the most honest signal you have. Nobody reorders merchandise that did nothing.
Decide what would count as success while you still have the choice of not ordering. That single habit does more for merchandise ROI than any statistic.
Some of what merchandise does is genuinely unattributable, in exactly the way brand advertising is. The right response is to measure the part you can and be honest about the part you cannot, rather than to invent a number for it.
Structurally, the products that do well share three characteristics: they are used often, they are used in front of other people, and they last.
That points towards bags, drinkware, clothing and anything that lives permanently on a desk, and away from single-use items and novelties. But the honest answer is that the best performer is the item your specific audience will actually keep, and that varies more by audience than by product category. A premium bottle is wasted on someone who already carries one. A notebook is wasted on someone who works entirely on a screen.
Our guide to choosing promotional products for an event covers how to work that out for a specific audience.